“When Luftwaffe [a German military in Munich] medics learned of these experiments, they objected on religious grounds. Himmler was outraged at their objections. He decided to circumvent their objections by transferring Rascher [the doctor performing the experiments] to the SS, where Christian qualms were not a problem.” – Bonhoeffer, Eric Metaxas, 511.

From Desert News:

“In the race for souls, demography counts for more than eloquence. And demographic reality is very much slanted against secularism: what no one has noticed is that far from declining, the religious are expanding their share of the population because secular birthrates have plunged below replacement,” says Kaufmann’s website regarding his research.

Others have also noticed these trends. “The world’s Muslim population is expected to increase by about 35 percent in the next 20 years, rising from 1.6 billion in 2010 to 2.2 billion by 2030,” says a summary of a Pew Forum study.

“Despite the rapid growth of Islam, Christianity seems set to remain the biggest religion in the world for the next 20 years. There are currently more than 2 billion Christians — 30 to 35 percent of the global population — making it very unlikely that there will be fewer than 2.2 billion Christians in 2030,” says a post on CNN’s belief blog, based on the Pew Forum’s findings.

I would echo the last paragraph and add to it that Christianity should increase ground against Islam in the next 20 years. Read more here. 

At this rate….

June 4, 2011

Ben Stein says that the Arab Spring is a hoax. He says this based on the results thus far. The revolution in Egypt has given rise to anti-Israel, anti-US forces throughout the region. No western style democracy has broken out.

I will agree that the Arab Spring is a hoax but I don’t say that  based on results. I say that based on process. Cult defines culture. The god you worship defines what you are. The revolutions that are taking place are not changing the religious dynamic. Therefore they will not change the culture. Therefore political upheavals will just rearrange the furniture.

It is very common to hear that Islam is the world’s fastest growing religion. Here is an article on cnn stating this.  This case is made by studies (such as one by U.S. Center for World Mission) that show that as a percentage of the whole Islam is growing at a rate of 2.9%  and Christianity is growing at a rate of 2.3%. From there it is easy to throw a projection out into the future and show that if the rates of growth remain the same that Islam will surpass Christianity at some point. But this is really not a helpful way to look at things.

In terms of numbers, Christians add more to their numbers every year than Islam. Multiply 2.9% times the total number of Muslims (1.3Billion) and multiply 2.3% times the total number of Christians (2.1 Billion) and you will see that every year Christians add about 11 million more people to our ranks than Islam does.

But what about the rate? Islam is much smaller than Christianity. The smaller you are the less people you need to add every year to grow at a faster rate. If you want to use growth rate as the judge of the fastest growing religion (not adjusted for size) than Islam is nowhere near the fastest growing. Some cult you and I have never heard of is growing at a rate of 100% because Jimmy Joe Cult leader from a suburb of Saginaw just convinced another couple to join him and his wife at their compound in the woods. At that rate, the cult of Jimmy Joe will be the world’s largest religion by far in 100 years!

So what do I expect to happen over the next century? It is very difficult to predict what will happen to birth rates and conversion rates in the future. Islam has higher birth rates in many areas right now but certainly not everywhere. For example, the highest birth rates in the world are in Sub-Saharan Africa where Christianity is much more prevalent than Islam. Further more, Christianity tends to win converts at a much higher rate. So, what is with the lower growth rate in the world today? I would point to Europe. For the last 1000 years Europe was Christendom. That is where the stronghold of the Christian numbers were. But today, many countries in Europe have lost large numbers of adherents. Western Europe is now only 60% self proclaimed Christians. Further more, Europe has incredibly low fertility rates. As a continent, they are well below the replacement rate (2.1) at 1.5 babies per adult female.

And while this situation in Europe may be discouraging, I think this should be a huge encouragement when reflecting on the overall growth of Christianity. Think about it: Christendom collapsed in terms of adherents and birth rate and yet Christianity grew dramatically in the 20th century. It is unlikely that another cultural shakeup like we saw in the 20th century will happen in the 21st. Further more, there are indications that Europe’s slide into secularization may be slowing. From the Wall Street Journal:

After decades of secularization, religion in Europe has slowed its slide toward what had seemed inevitable oblivion. There are even nascent signs of a modest comeback. Most church pews are still empty. But belief in heaven, hell and concepts such as the soul has risen in parts of Europe, especially among the young, according to surveys. Religion, once a dead issue, now figures prominently in public discourse.

And the fertility rates are tied directly to religious fervor. From the European Journal of Population:

By every available measure, American women are more religious than European women. Catholic and Protestant women have notably higher fertility than those not belonging to any denomination in the US and across Europe. In all European regions and in the United States as well as among all denominations the more devout have more children.

So, in places like Europe, you are seeing a slowing of secularization and higher birth rates among the devout Christians. This doesn’t indicate to me that the 20th century slide will continue in the 21st. Further, the rest of the world helped maintain Christian growth in the 20th century and this growth is giving every indication of continuing. The church continues to make unbelievable gains Southeast Asia, Africa and South America.

Amazingly, despite the heavy persecution, Christianity is even making gains in some Islamic nations. Time Magazine reports:

More surprising, though, is the boom in Christianity[in the Islamic nation of Indonesia]…..the number of Asian Christian faithful exploded to 351 million adherents in 2005, up from 101 million in 1970, according to the Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life, based in Washington, D.C.

All of this indicates to me that Christianity is going to continue to be the largest religion and that far from losing this position, it will expand greatly in the 21st century.

God Will Cut You Down

May 14, 2011

I have been struck recently by the way that life drags the proud low. Those who are good looking and cool today will be old, saggy, wrinkled, and generally uncool tomorrow. Money fades away. Power is fleeting. Death is coming like a freight train. I used to get upset when I saw self-absorbed people acting badly without consequence. But I don’t anymore. Time and age make pride silly. The proud are simply short sighted. Time humbles. Sooner or later God cuts us all down.

In 1984, George Orwell describes the official language of the future, “Newspeak”. This minimalist language was used by the government to control society. Newspeak’s purpose was to remove all meaning from language.

Orwell loved language and wanted to encourage people to speak and write in ways that conveyed meaning. I just read this excellent article that Orwell wrote called, “Politics and the English Language” (1946). Here is his summary of how to speak and write in a way that conveys your meaning clearly and concisely.

(i) Never use a metaphor, simile, or other figure of speech which you are used to seeing in print [in other words, think about your metaphors and be creative don't just use ones "off the shelf"].

(ii) Never us a long word where a short one will do [this may make you sound smart but it will reduce your clarity].

(iii) If it is possible to cut a word out, always cut it out.

(iv) Never use the passive where you can use the active.

(v) Never use a foreign phrase, a scientific word, or a jargon word if you can think of an everyday English equivalent [Orwell gives the example of flowers now being referred to by their Greek names "Snapdragon becoming antirrhinum, forget-me-not becoming myosotis"....why not use the English word?] .

(vi) Break any of these rules sooner than say anything outright barbarous.

With Atlas Shrugged coming to the big screen this month a lot of people are wondering whether this could be the equivalent to the Passion of the Christ in the fervent boxoffice turnout of evangelicals. In recent years, Atlas Shrugged has become mandatory reading for conservatives. Its author Ayn Rand is held up as the prototypical conservative.

The problem? Ayn Rand was not a conservative. She was:

1) Strongly pro-abortion
2) Strongly atheistic (she once told William F Buckley, ‘you are too smart to believe in God”)
3) An outspoken feminist
4) Personally quite immoral (addicted to amphetamines and had a rotating cast of lovers)

Her philosophy was not that of a principled constitutional conservative, it was that of a radical individualist. Christians believe strongly in individual rights and freedoms but we are not individualists. We recognize that our lives are dependent on others and others are dependent on us. We have a duty to serve others and a responsibility to look out for those who cannot look out for themselves. We believe in individual responsibility of course but we don’t believe than any man is an island.

Further, Ayn Rand’s conception of capitalism is not the Christian conception. Christians support capitalism because it is free and allows people to provide for their family; to buy and sell according to their needs. Christians do not believe as Rand did that greed is good. Selfishness is not, as Rand said, “The only virtue” in fact it is not a virtue at all. Capitalism works because people look out for their needs at the family level, not because people are greedy or selfish. Capitalism works despite greed not because of it.

Greed is not good but freedom is good. Capitalism is simply the process of giving people freedom to buy and sell as they see fit. The best form of capitalism is for people to be selfless and serving. As John Wesley said, “Make all you can; save all you can; give all you can.” No golden facets in the bathroom. No wealth for self promotion. Remember that your treasure is in heaven.

Does this mean we should reject Atlas Shrugged and its author? No. It just means we need to be careful to remember that its philosophy is not fundamentally a Christian one.

For the love of stories

April 14, 2011

HT Justin Taylor

This was posted on ChristianityToday.com. In light of calls to remove the tax exempt status of churches, I thought it was an interesting effort.

I think that you could add a lot to this. Primarily the value of healthy families that churches work to produce. Christian families tend to have more kids. This has been shown in many studies. For example, Tomas Frejka and Charles F. Westoff wrote in the European Journal of Population,

“By every available measure, American women are more religious than European women. Catholic and Protestant women have notably higher fertility than those not belonging to any denomination in the US and across Europe. In all European regions and in the United States as well as among all denominations the more devout have more children. “

Source

These children become the future tax base for the aging population. In order to maintain the social security ratios, we need to have a lot more children and Christians are doing the work here. Some have proposed paying people (with tax breaks and credits) to have kids in order to avoid the fertility decline in that has been seen in other countries. That might be a good idea but we can start by maintaining the tax exempt status of churches.

Further, the fact that Christians tend to have lower divorce rates (despite much false press stating the contrary) also helps create children that are less likely to be violent, more likely to graduate from high school, and generally better adjusted citizens.

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